Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio El Toralín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.36) 0.38 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.9% 21.6% 7.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arenas Getxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 12.2% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 8.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPonferradinaArenas Getxo
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack19%31%
Defense81%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ponferradina Arenas Getxo
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%57%0%31%
Draws17%43%31%29%17%23%
Loses50%29%38%14%83%46%

Form: Ponferradina: WLLLDLWWDWDDL • Arenas Getxo: WDLLWLDLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Ponferradina Arenas Getxo
HATHAT
GF total851311213
GF avg1.30.71.01.60.31.0
GA total841281119
GA avg1.30.60.91.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePonferradinaArenas Getxo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%46%62%69%
1.531%31%31%46%
2.58%15%8%23%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPonferradinaArenas Getxo
HATHAT
Clean sheets257314
Failed to score145145

Penalties

MetricPonferradinaArenas Getxo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPonferradinaArenas Getxo
Wins21
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-0—
Biggest losses1-32-01-43-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricPonferradinaArenas Getxo
Form46%54%
Att38%63%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.8%43.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ponferradina = 1.72 (league 1.36), Arenas Getxo = 0.38 (league 1.02)

Arenas Getxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 12.2% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 8.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.9% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 7.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1