Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio La Molineta
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.30) 2.02 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 21.5% 47.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ejea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 2.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.4% 8.9% 8.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.7% 3.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfaroEjea
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack21%50%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfaro Ejea
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%40%25%33%
Draws50%0%22%40%0%22%
Loses25%100%67%20%75%44%

Form: Alfaro: DLDLWLLLL • Ejea: DWLLDLWLW

League goals

Metric Alfaro Ejea
HATHAT
GF total4598513
GF avg1.01.01.01.61.31.4
GA total612186814
GA avg1.52.42.01.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfaroEjea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%78%89%
1.533%56%44%56%
2.511%44%22%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfaroEjea
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricAlfaroEjea
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlfaroEjea
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-12-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-23-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricAlfaroEjea
Form30%70%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ejea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfaro = 1.54 (league 1.30), Ejea = 2.02 (league 0.97)

Ejea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 2.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.4% 8.9% 8.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.7% 3.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 47.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1