Sat, Dec 13 2025 ā¢ 15:30 ā¢
Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.31)
1.70 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.2% | 22.4% | 36.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Alfaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mutilvera | 0 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 70% | 50% |
| Defense | 20% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 14% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 14% | 29% | 21% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 43% | 57% | 50% | 43% | 86% | 64% |
Form: Mutilvera: DWLLLLDWLWWLDL ā¢ Alfaro: DLDLWLLLLLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mutilvera | Alfaro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 86% | 64% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 43% | 29% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 29% | 7% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | ā |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mutilvera | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Mutilvera or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Mutilvera = 1.76 (league 1.31), Alfaro = 1.70 (league 0.94)
| Alfaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mutilvera | 0 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% Ā· Draw 22.4% Ā· Away win 36.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1