Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.23) 0.42 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 34.8% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
23.4%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Xerez Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 23.4% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorca DeportivaXerez Deportivo
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack75%38%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorca Deportiva Xerez Deportivo
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%31%44%31%17%24%
Draws25%23%24%46%33%40%
Loses17%46%32%23%50%36%

Form: Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWWWLLDWLLDWWDWL • Xerez Deportivo: LDDLWLDLWDDWWDWDLWLLLDDLD

League goals

Metric Lorca Deportiva Xerez Deportivo
HATHAT
GF total111526161228
GF avg0.91.21.01.21.01.1
GA total51924141731
GA avg0.41.51.01.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorca DeportivaXerez Deportivo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%56%80%76%
1.528%24%24%36%
2.58%12%4%12%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorca DeportivaXerez Deportivo
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311426
Failed to score448235

Penalties

MetricLorca DeportivaXerez Deportivo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLorca DeportivaXerez Deportivo
Wins72
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-33-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricLorca DeportivaXerez Deportivo
Form77%23%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total62.6%37.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lorca Deportiva or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away4.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lorca Deportiva = 1.03 (league 1.23), Xerez Deportivo = 0.42 (league 0.94)

Xerez Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 23.4% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 15.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1