Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 •
TESS Arena Esbjerg - kunstgræsbane 5
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 2.18)
0.96 (league 1.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.8% | 19.4% | 15.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarup-Paarup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esbjerg II | 0 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 42% |
| Defense | 74% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 17% | 25% | 21% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Form: Esbjerg II: WWWLLWWDWWWLWW • Tarup-Paarup: WDDWWWLLLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 31 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 79% | 79% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 36% | 43% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 21% | 36% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 7% | 14% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 7% | 14% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-8 | 5-2 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-2 | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 72% | 28% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Esbjerg II and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Esbjerg II = 2.18 (league 2.18), Tarup-Paarup = 0.96 (league 1.91)
| Tarup-Paarup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esbjerg II | 0 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 15.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1