Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 13:00 • Cardiff International Sports Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 2.08) 0.18 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.2% 7.4% 1.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.5%
3 - 0
18.7%
4 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff City U21 0 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.5% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.7% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiff City U21Bristol City U21
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack81%38%
Defense69%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff City U21 Bristol City U21
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%25%0%14%
Draws33%25%29%25%0%14%
Loses33%0%14%50%100%71%

Form: Cardiff City U21: DWLWDWW • Bristol City U21: LLWDLLL

League goals

Metric Cardiff City U21 Bristol City U21
HATHAT
GF total61117617
GF avg2.02.82.41.50.31.0
GA total3367916
GA avg1.00.80.91.83.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiff City U21Bristol City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%71%100%
1.571%29%29%86%
2.543%0%0%29%
3.529%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiff City U21Bristol City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricCardiff City U21Bristol City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCardiff City U21Bristol City U21
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-1—
Biggest losses1-2—1-24-1
Goals For4421
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricCardiff City U21Bristol City U21
Form71%29%
Att68%32%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h93%7%
Goals79%21%
Total79.3%20.7%

Advice: Winner : Cardiff City U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 188Bet
Draw5.62 @ Pinnacle
Away5.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Unibet
No3.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff City U21 = 2.89 (league 2.08), Bristol City U21 = 0.18 (league 1.70)

Bristol City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff City U21 0 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.5% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.7% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.2% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 1.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1