Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 18:00 •
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.85)
1.82 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.5% | 21.1% | 34.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby County U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Reading U21 | 0 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 30% | 32% | 40% | 11% | 26% |
| Draws | 22% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
| Loses | 44% | 50% | 47% | 40% | 56% | 47% |
Form: Reading U21: DDLDLLLLLWWWWLLWWLD • Derby County U21: LLLLLLDLWDLDDDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 21 | 35 | 12 | 28 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 63% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 47% | 32% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 26% | 21% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 21% | 16% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Reading U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 39.4% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derby County U21
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.89 @ Unibet
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.44 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Reading U21
vs
Derby County U21
Expected goals
2.01
Reading U21 xG
League Avg: 1.85
Total
3.83
1.82
Derby County U21 xG
League Avg: 1.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.5%
Draw
21.1%
Away
34.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.0%
Tip
1 - 1
7.9%
Tip
2 - 2
7.3%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Reading U21 = 2.01 (league 1.85), Derby County U21 = 1.82 (league 1.67)
| Derby County U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Reading U21 | 0 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 34.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1