Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Ingoma
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.44)
0.29 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.9% | 34.0% | 10.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.3%
0 - 0
25.3%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Kayanza United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Musongati | 0 | 25.3% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.3% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 67% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Musongati: LWWDLWWWD • Kayanza United: WDLDDWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Musongati | Kayanza United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 44% | 80% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 30% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Musongati | Kayanza United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 92% | 8% |
| Total | 67.4% | 32.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Musongati or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Musongati = 1.08 (league 1.44), Kayanza United = 0.29 (league 1.22)
| Kayanza United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Musongati | 0 | 25.3% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.3% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 10.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1