Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:30 •
King Saud University Stadium
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.66)
0.19 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.4% | 11.0% | 1.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
17.7%
3 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Shabab | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 30% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 86% | 67% | 77% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 8% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Loses | 14% | 17% | 15% | 50% | 57% | 54% |
Form: Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLL • Al Shabab: LWDLDDLDDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 16 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 62% | 62% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 92% | 23% | 8% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 80.2% | 20.0% |
Advice: Winner : Al-Nassr
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Nassr = 2.43 (league 1.66), Al Shabab = 0.19 (league 1.44)
| Al Shabab | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.4% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 1.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1