NEOM 2-1 Al Shabab: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

NEOM 2-1 Al Shabab: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Pro League 🌍 Saudi-Arabia

Mon, May 11 2026 · 16:50

NEOM

2 - 1

Al Shabab

🏆 Pro League

🌍 Saudi-Arabia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.15

League avg: 1.30

Both

2.40

League avg: 2.60

Away

1.25

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

28%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

31%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

41%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

53%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

71%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 111%

1 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: NEOM vs Al Shabab

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for NEOM vs Al Shabab.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Al Shabab
		0	1	2	3	4
NEOM	0	9.1%	11.3%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%
	1	10.4%	13.0%	8.2%	3.4%	1.1%
	2	6.0%	7.5%	4.7%	2.0%	0.6%
	3	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1563-14

League

1549±0

Away

1508-18

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
NEOM	1563	1559	1517	1600	1573	-14
Al Shabab	1508	1503	1490	1676	1446	-18

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
NEOM	8	31	41	11	8	12	40	44	WWLDD
Al Shabab	13	31	32	7	11	13	40	52	DDDLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
NEOM	5	53%	56%	50%	1.8	1.6
Al Shabab	5	20%	44%	19%	1.4	2.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
NEOM	1.1	1.4	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.4
Al Shabab	1.6	1.0	1.3	2.1	1.2	1.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
NEOM	1.3	1.1	1.4	1.5
Al Shabab	1.3	1.0	1.7	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	20.00%	11.90%	13.64%	18.00%
16-30	17.50%	11.90%	6.82%	14.00%
31-45	7.50%	23.81%	15.91%	24.00%
46-60	20.00%	19.05%	20.45%	16.00%
61-75	7.50%	21.43%	18.18%	6.00%
76-90	27.50%	11.90%	25.00%	22.00%

Team Comparison

73%

Form

27%

56%

Attack

44%

62%

Defense

38%

46%

Poisson

54%

H2H

Goals

55%

Total

45%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
NEOM	3-0	3-4	0-3	3-2	3 / 4	3 / 3
Al Shabab	3-1	0-4	1-5	2-0	3 / 4	5 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
NEOM	6	4	2	6	2	4
Al Shabab	7	4	3	8	1	7

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
NEOM	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Al Shabab	10	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-14	Al Shabab	3 - 2 FT	NEOM

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.05	Homepage market
Draw	3.60	Homepage market
Away win	2.88	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.40	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.50	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	NEOM	Al Shabab
expected_goals	2.23	1.06
Ball Possession	42%	58%
Total Shots	9	13
Shots on Goal	5	6
Shots off Goal	4	3
Blocked Shots	1	4
Shots insidebox	7	8
Shots outsidebox	2	5
Corner Kicks	2	6
Offsides	1	0
Fouls	12	16
Yellow Cards	1	2
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	5	3
Total passes	369	492
Passes accurate	304	429
Passes %	82%	87%
goals_prevented	0.44	0.44

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+7'	Al Shabab	A. Al Othman	Card	Yellow Card
90+2'	NEOM	M. Al Saad	subst	Out: I. Hawsawi
90+2'	NEOM	A. Kone	subst	Out: M. Al Burayk
85'	Al Shabab	H. Al Hammami	subst	Out: A. Matuq
80'	NEOM	K. Al Dawsari	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Al Shabab	Y. Carrasco	Goal	Assist: Y. Adli
78'	Al Shabab	V. Sierro	subst	Out: B. Al Sayyali
73'	Al Shabab	A. Makki	subst	Out: K. A. Al Sibyani H.
66'	NEOM	A. Al Oyayari	subst	Out: S. Al Faraj
66'	NEOM	L. Rodriguez	subst	Out: R. Messi
49'	NEOM	S. Benrahma	subst	Out: M. Al Saad
46'	Al Shabab	M. Al Shwirekh	subst	Out: A. Al Asmari
46'	Al Shabab	A. Azaizeh	subst	Out: A. Al Othman
45'	NEOM	S. Benrahma	Goal	Penalty
19'	NEOM	S. Benrahma	Goal	Penalty
17'	Al Shabab	M. Al Shwirekh	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Pro League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Al-Nassr Champions League Elite	1	33	83	27	2	4	87	27	60	DWLWW
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Champions League Elite	2	33	81	24	9	0	84	27	57	WDWWW
Al-Ahli Jeddah Champions League Elite	3	33	78	24	6	3	67	24	43	WWWWL
Al-Qadisiyah FC Champions League Elite	4	33	74	22	8	3	78	33	45	WWWWD
Al-Ittihad FC Champions League Elite	5	33	55	16	7	10	54	43	11	LWWDW
Al Taawon Champions League 2	6	33	53	15	8	10	59	44	15	DLWLW
Al-Ettifaq	7	33	49	14	7	12	50	54	-4	LWDWL
NEOM	8	33	44	12	8	13	42	47	-5	LWDDL
Al-Hazm	9	33	39	10	9	14	36	57	-21	LDLDW
Al-Fayha	10	33	38	10	8	15	41	53	-12	LLWDL
Al Khaleej Saihat	11	33	37	10	7	16	53	58	-5	LLLWW
Al-Fateh	12	33	36	9	9	15	41	55	-14	WLLDD
Al Shabab	13	33	35	8	11	14	44	56	-12	WLLLD
Al Kholood	14	33	32	9	5	19	39	61	-22	LDDDW
Damac	15	33	29	6	11	16	31	51	-20	WLLLW
Al Riyadh Relegation	16	33	27	6	9	18	34	63	-29	DWLLL
Al Okhdood Relegation	17	33	20	5	5	23	27	69	-42	WDLLL
Al Najma Relegation	18	33	13	2	7	24	31	76	-45	LDDLL