Tue, May 12 2026 • 18:00 •
Al-Awwal Park
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.61)
1.39 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 23.8% | 31.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 77% | 100% |
| Defense | 62% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 93% | 76% | 84% | 75% | 73% | 74% |
| Draws | 0% | 6% | 3% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Loses | 7% | 18% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Al-NassrWWWWWWWWWWDLLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWLW
Al-Hilal Saudi FCWDDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDDDWWDDWWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 41 | 45 | 86 | 39 | 42 | 81 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 16 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 47% | 97% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 25% | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 9% | 45% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 0% | 23% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 19% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ Dafabet
Draw3.75 @ 10Bet
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.42 @ Betano
No2.80 @ Unibet
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League standings
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