Al Taawon 1-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Al Taawon 1-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Pro League 🌍 Saudi-Arabia

Mon, May 11 2026 · 18:00

Al Taawon

1 - 2

Al-Ahli Jeddah

🏆 Pro League

🌍 Saudi-Arabia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.25

League avg: 1.80

Both

2.60

League avg: 3.80

Away

1.35

League avg: 2.00

1X2 Probability

Home

23%

ELO-based: 15%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 61%

Goal Probability

2.5+

55%

3.5+

39%

BTTS

69%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 110%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Al Taawon vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Al Taawon vs Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Al-Ahli Jeddah
		0	1	2	3	4
Al Taawon	0	7.4%	10.0%	6.8%	3.0%	1.0%
	1	9.3%	12.5%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
	2	5.8%	7.8%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%
	3	2.4%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1548+1

League

1549±0

Away

1786+4

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Al Taawon	1548	1549	1497	1605	1551	+1
Al-Ahli Jeddah	1786	1787	1642	1847	1738	+4

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Al Taawon	6	31	52	15	7	9	57	41	DLWLW
Al-Ahli Jeddah	3	31	72	22	6	3	62	23	WDLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Al Taawon	5	47%	63%	50%	2.0	1.6
Al-Ahli Jeddah	5	67%	69%	75%	2.2	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Al Taawon	1.8	1.9	1.8	1.4	1.3	1.3
Al-Ahli Jeddah	2.6	1.3	2.0	0.8	0.7	0.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Al Taawon	1.8	1.8	1.3	1.4
Al-Ahli Jeddah	2.0	1.3	0.7	0.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	15.09%	10.17%	6.67%	7.69%
16-30	11.32%	18.64%	11.11%	11.54%
31-45	20.75%	11.86%	15.56%	26.92%
46-60	15.09%	15.25%	24.44%	15.38%
61-75	22.64%	18.64%	15.56%	11.54%
76-90	15.09%	25.42%	26.67%	26.92%

Team Comparison

41%

Form

59%

48%

Attack

52%

33%

Defense

67%

37%

Poisson

63%

H2H

29%

Goals

71%

38%

Total

62%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Al Taawon	6-1	1-5	0-5	2-1	6 / 5	5 / 2
Al-Ahli Jeddah	4-0	2-5		2-0	4 / 5	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Al Taawon	6	4	2	5	2	3
Al-Ahli Jeddah	16	6	10	3	0	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Al Taawon	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Al-Ahli Jeddah	9	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-14	Al-Ahli Jeddah	2 - 1 FT	Al Taawon
2025-05-07	Al-Ahli Jeddah	2 - 0 FT	Al Taawon
2024-12-07	Al Taawon	2 - 4 FT	Al-Ahli Jeddah
2024-03-09	Al Taawon	0 - 1 FT	Al-Ahli Jeddah
2023-09-16	Al-Ahli Jeddah	3 - 2 FT	Al Taawon
2022-02-05	Al-Ahli Jeddah	1 - 1 FT	Al Taawon

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	3.20	Homepage market
Draw	3.25	Homepage market
Away win	2.00	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.73	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.67	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Al Taawon	Al-Ahli Jeddah
expected_goals	0.88	0.91
Ball Possession	56%	44%
Total Shots	15	9
Shots on Goal	4	4
Shots off Goal	7	5
Blocked Shots	4	0
Shots insidebox	10	5
Shots outsidebox	5	4
Corner Kicks	7	1
Offsides	1	2
Fouls	13	19
Yellow Cards	2	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	1	3
Total passes	447	359
Passes accurate	386	304
Passes %	86%	85%
goals_prevented	-0.21	-0.21

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	R. Mahrez	subst	Out: M. Sulaiman
89'	Al Taawon	Flavio	subst	Out: S. Rajab
83'	Al Taawon	M. Al Dossari	subst	Out: Biel
79'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	Ibanez	Goal	Assist: R. Mahrez
78'	Al Taawon	A. El Mahdioui	Card	Yellow Card
70'	Al Taawon	Andrei Girotto	subst	Out: M. Al Mufarrij
61'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	S. Abu Al Shamat	subst	Out: Matheus Goncalves
61'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	A. Majrashi	subst	Out: R. Hamidou
60'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	Z. Al Johani	Card	Yellow Card
58'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	S. Abu Al Shamat	Card	Yellow Card
55'	Al Taawon	A. Fulgini	Goal	Assist: Flavio
50'	Al Taawon	M. Al Dossari	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	V. Atangana	subst	Out: Z. Al Johani
33'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	E. Millot	Card	Yellow Card
17'	Al-Ahli Jeddah	I. Toney	Goal	Assist: M. Dams

League Standings

Local standings cache · Pro League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Al-Nassr Champions League Elite	1	33	83	27	2	4	87	27	60	DWLWW
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Champions League Elite	2	33	81	24	9	0	84	27	57	WDWWW
Al-Ahli Jeddah Champions League Elite	3	33	78	24	6	3	67	24	43	WWWWL
Al-Qadisiyah FC Champions League Elite	4	33	74	22	8	3	78	33	45	WWWWD
Al-Ittihad FC Champions League Elite	5	33	55	16	7	10	54	43	11	LWWDW
Al Taawon Champions League 2	6	33	53	15	8	10	59	44	15	DLWLW
Al-Ettifaq	7	33	49	14	7	12	50	54	-4	LWDWL
NEOM	8	33	44	12	8	13	42	47	-5	LWDDL
Al-Hazm	9	33	39	10	9	14	36	57	-21	LDLDW
Al-Fayha	10	33	38	10	8	15	41	53	-12	LLWDL
Al Khaleej Saihat	11	33	37	10	7	16	53	58	-5	LLLWW
Al-Fateh	12	33	36	9	9	15	41	55	-14	WLLDD
Al Shabab	13	33	35	8	11	14	44	56	-12	WLLLD
Al Kholood	14	33	32	9	5	19	39	61	-22	LDDDW
Damac	15	33	29	6	11	16	31	51	-20	WLLLW
Al Riyadh Relegation	16	33	27	6	9	18	34	63	-29	DWLLL
Al Okhdood Relegation	17	33	20	5	5	23	27	69	-42	WDLLL
Al Najma Relegation	18	33	13	2	7	24	31	76	-45	LDDLL