Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:30 • Stadion Georgi Asparuhov
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.33) 0.76 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 38.3% 34.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Levski Sofia 0 24.9% 18.9% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.7% 11.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLevski SofiaLudogorets
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack67%67%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Levski Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins100%67%86%75%67%71%
Draws0%33%14%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Levski Sofia: WWWWDWW • Ludogorets: WWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Levski Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
GF total114159514
GF avg2.81.32.12.31.72.0
GA total224213
GA avg0.50.70.60.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLevski SofiaLudogorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%86%43%
1.586%0%57%0%
2.514%0%29%0%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.514%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLevski SofiaLudogorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricLevski SofiaLudogorets
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricLevski SofiaLudogorets
Wins44
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-25-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For5253
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricLevski SofiaLudogorets
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Levski Sofia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Levski Sofia = 0.63 (league 1.33), Ludogorets = 0.76 (league 1.12)

Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Levski Sofia 0 24.9% 18.9% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.7% 11.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 34.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1