Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.33) 0.85 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 40.6% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.9%
0 - 1
27.9%
0 - 2
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 32.9% 27.9% 11.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
1 8.7% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraLecco
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack29%64%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Lecco
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%67%67%67%
Draws67%83%75%17%33%25%
Loses17%17%17%17%0%8%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDD • Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Novara Lecco
HATHAT
GF total461013720
GF avg0.71.00.82.21.21.7
GA total4711437
GA avg0.71.20.90.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraLecco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%50%
1.517%17%42%8%
2.50%8%25%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraLecco
HATHAT
Clean sheets224246
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricNovaraLecco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNovaraLecco
Wins14
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-20-1—
Goals For1252
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricNovaraLecco
Form41%59%
Att31%69%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lecco and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Superbet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.26 (league 1.33), Lecco = 0.85 (league 0.99)

Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 32.9% 27.9% 11.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
1 8.7% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1