Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.27) 0.68 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 36.1% 27.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.6%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 21.6% 14.7% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoAlcione
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack55%45%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Alcione
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%50%56%50%50%50%
Draws13%25%19%13%25%19%
Loses25%25%25%38%25%31%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLL • Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Lecco Alcione
HATHAT
GF total147218917
GF avg1.80.91.31.01.11.1
GA total55105510
GA avg0.60.60.60.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoAlcione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%56%75%56%
1.531%6%25%6%
2.519%0%6%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoAlcione
HATHAT
Clean sheets347437
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricLeccoAlcione
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLeccoAlcione
Wins42
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-12-01-3
Biggest losses0-11-01-21-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricLeccoAlcione
Form40%60%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lecco or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.03 @ Pinnacle
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 0.85 (league 1.27), Alcione = 0.68 (league 0.97)

Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 21.6% 14.7% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1