Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 16:30 •
Tullio Saleri
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.29)
1.23 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3% | 29.6% | 45.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Alcione | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 13.0% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 78% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 20% | 36% | 29% | 50% | 45% | 48% |
| Draws | 50% | 27% | 38% | 10% | 18% | 14% |
| Loses | 30% | 36% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDW • Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDWWLLWLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lumezzane | Alcione | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 67% | 67% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 33% | 29% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 14% | 5% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lumezzane | Alcione |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lumezzane or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 0.81 (league 1.29), Alcione = 1.23 (league 0.98)
| Alcione | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 13.0% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 45.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1