Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.22) 2.24 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.1% 14.5% 78.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.3%
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 3
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 7.7% 17.2% 19.3% 14.4% 8.0% 3.6%
1 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaArezzo
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack50%100%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Arezzo
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%83%83%83%
Draws17%50%33%0%17%8%
Loses67%50%58%17%0%8%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWD • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Perugia Arezzo
HATHAT
GF total3710111526
GF avg0.51.20.81.82.52.2
GA total61319358
GA avg1.02.21.60.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaArezzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%92%50%
1.533%58%50%17%
2.50%17%50%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaArezzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score426101

Penalties

MetricPerugiaArezzo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricPerugiaArezzo
Wins15
Draws31
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-1—
Goals For2254
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaArezzo
Form24%76%
Att27%73%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total25.2%74.8%

Advice: Winner : Arezzo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.33 (league 1.22), Arezzo = 2.24 (league 1.12)

Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 7.7% 17.2% 19.3% 14.4% 8.0% 3.6%
1 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 78.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1