Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.55) 1.09 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 30.0% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 12.3% 13.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliCasertana
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack44%38%
Defense81%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Casertana
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%67%50%50%33%42%
Draws33%17%25%33%17%25%
Loses33%17%25%17%50%33%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWW • Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLD

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Casertana
HATHAT
GF total871510616
GF avg1.31.21.31.71.01.3
GA total76139716
GA avg1.21.01.11.51.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%75%
1.542%25%33%50%
2.517%8%17%8%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets134123
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliCasertana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliCasertana
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-32-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliCasertana
Form59%41%
Att54%46%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : SS Monopoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 1.01 (league 1.55), Casertana = 1.09 (league 1.10)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 12.3% 13.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 37.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1