Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.51) 0.60 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 29.2% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 15.0% 9.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaLatina
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack33%33%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Latina
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%47%47%33%13%23%
Draws40%20%30%27%47%37%
Loses13%33%23%40%40%40%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWWLDWWDLWDLDL • Latina: WLLDLWDWDLDDLLLLDLDWWDWLDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Latina
HATHAT
GF total191736101222
GF avg1.31.11.20.70.80.7
GA total121931102232
GA avg0.81.31.00.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaLatina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%53%67%
1.540%20%20%20%
2.57%10%0%10%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaLatina
HATHAT
Clean sheets64107310
Failed to score4488614

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaLatina
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaLatina
Wins52
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses2-35-10-26-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3526

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaLatina
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Salernitana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 188Bet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away7.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.29 (league 1.51), Latina = 0.60 (league 1.06)

Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 15.0% 9.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1