Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.51) 0.76 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 21.3% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.2% 10.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaSorrento
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack91%55%
Defense27%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Sorrento
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%17%31%28%24%26%
Draws41%22%31%44%12%29%
Loses12%61%37%28%65%46%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDLWLLDDWWLLWDLWL • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWDLWLLWLWLWLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Potenza Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total301848251338
GF avg1.81.01.41.40.81.1
GA total173653242751
GA avg1.02.01.51.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%66%77%
1.543%57%37%51%
2.517%17%6%14%
3.53%6%0%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets8210538
Failed to score46104812

Penalties

MetricPotenzaSorrento
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricPotenzaSorrento
Wins21
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-44-00-24-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaSorrento
Form64%36%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total68.7%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.91 (league 1.51), Sorrento = 0.76 (league 1.05)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.2% 10.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 14.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1