Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Francisco Zarco
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
3.45 (league 1.52) 0.30 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.6% 5.5% 1.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
14.0%
4 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Colima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurangoColima
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack100%80%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durango Colima
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins100%75%83%25%0%17%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%17%75%100%83%

Form: Durango: WWLWWW • Colima: LLLLLW

League goals

Metric Durango Colima
HATHAT
GF total7815404
GF avg3.52.02.51.00.00.7
GA total1458311
GA avg0.51.00.82.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurangoColima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%33%83%
1.583%17%17%50%
2.533%0%17%17%
3.533%0%0%17%
4.517%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurangoColima
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricDurangoColima
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDurangoColima
Wins20
Draws00
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-43-0—
Biggest losses—1-01-52-0
Goals For5430
Goals Against1252

Model comparison

MetricDurangoColima
Form80%20%
Att71%29%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals88%13%
Total76.6%23.6%

Advice: Winner : Durango

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ Betano
Draw7.50 @ Bet365
Away14.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.83 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Durango = 3.45 (league 1.52), Colima = 0.30 (league 1.18)

Colima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.6% · Draw 5.5% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1