Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
The Amber Arena and Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.58)
3.12 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9% | 10.0% | 75.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
11.5%
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 4
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Carlton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boldmere St. Michaels | 0 | 2.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 26% | 35% |
| Defense | 74% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 75% | 40% | 56% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Boldmere St. Michaels: LWLLWDLLW • Carlton Town: WWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 78% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 56% | 60% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Carlton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.3% |
Advice: Winner : Carlton Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Boldmere St. Michaels = 0.66 (league 1.58), Carlton Town = 3.12 (league 1.28)
| Carlton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boldmere St. Michaels | 0 | 2.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 75.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1