Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
The Amber Arena and Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.55)
2.28 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 19.7% | 55.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
8.2%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boldmere St. Michaels | 0 | 2.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 64% | 18% |
| Defense | 18% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 17% | 46% | 32% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
| Loses | 75% | 46% | 60% | 58% | 50% | 54% |
Form: Boldmere St. Michaels: LWLLWDLLWLWLLLLLLWLWLLWDW • Rugby Town: LWLLLDWLLWDWWWLLDLLWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 28 | 18 | 46 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 88% | 79% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 60% | 29% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 32% | 8% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Boldmere St. Michaels | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Boldmere St. Michaels or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Boldmere St. Michaels = 1.35 (league 1.55), Rugby Town = 2.28 (league 1.31)
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boldmere St. Michaels | 0 | 2.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 55.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1