Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.52)
2.55 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 16.4% | 66.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
9.5%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Guerreros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mineros de Fresnillo | 0 | 2.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 33% |
| Defense | 25% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLL • Guerreros: LWLD
League goals
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 1-0 | — | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Mineros de Fresnillo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 0.99 (league 1.52), Guerreros = 2.55 (league 1.18)
| Guerreros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mineros de Fresnillo | 0 | 2.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 66.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1