NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Samson Siasia Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.43) 0.85 (league 0.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 39.8% 45.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.2%
0 - 1
25.6%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayelsa United 0 30.2% 25.6% 10.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayelsa UnitedNasarawa United
Played44
Form50%58%
Attack50%33%
Defense50%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.81 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

35%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

37%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayelsa United Nasarawa United
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%50%50%0%50%25%

Form: Bayelsa United: WWLL • Nasarawa United: LWDW

League goals

Metric Bayelsa United Nasarawa United
HATHAT
GF total213202
GF avg1.00.50.81.00.00.5
GA total213011
GA avg1.00.50.80.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayelsa UnitedNasarawa United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%25%
1.525%25%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayelsa UnitedNasarawa United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricBayelsa UnitedNasarawa United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBayelsa UnitedNasarawa United
Wins21
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-0—
Biggest losses0-21-0—1-0
Goals For2110
Goals Against2101

Model comparison

MetricBayelsa UnitedNasarawa United
Form46%54%
Att60%40%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bayelsa United or draw and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayelsa United = 0.35 (league 1.43), Nasarawa United = 0.85 (league 0.59)

Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayelsa United 0 30.2% 25.6% 10.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 39.8% · Away win 45.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1