NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Sani Abacha Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.43) 1.07 (league 0.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 33.2% 47.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.0%
0 - 0
19.5%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bayelsa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kano Pillars 0 19.5% 21.0% 11.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.9% 11.7% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKano PillarsBayelsa United
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack38%75%
Defense13%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kano Pillars Bayelsa United
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins40%0%20%33%40%36%
Draws40%0%20%17%20%18%
Loses20%100%60%50%40%45%

Form: Kano Pillars: LDLWLWDLLL • Bayelsa United: WWLLLDDWLLW

League goals

Metric Kano Pillars Bayelsa United
HATHAT
GF total4267411
GF avg0.80.40.61.20.81.0
GA total48128513
GA avg0.81.61.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKano PillarsBayelsa United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%73%82%
1.50%40%27%36%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKano PillarsBayelsa United
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricKano PillarsBayelsa United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKano PillarsBayelsa United
Wins12
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricKano PillarsBayelsa United
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayelsa United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Superbet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away6.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kano Pillars = 0.56 (league 1.43), Bayelsa United = 1.07 (league 0.60)

Bayelsa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kano Pillars 0 19.5% 21.0% 11.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.9% 11.7% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 47.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1