NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Lafia Township Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.43) 0.13 (league 0.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 48.9% 6.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.9%
1 - 0
30.0%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kwara United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nasarawa United 0 44.9% 5.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.0% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNasarawa UnitedKwara United
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack63%63%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nasarawa United Kwara United
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins100%33%64%67%0%36%
Draws0%17%9%17%60%36%
Loses0%50%27%17%40%27%

Form: Nasarawa United: LWDWWWWWLLW • Kwara United: DLWDWLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Nasarawa United Kwara United
HATHAT
GF total8311819
GF avg1.60.51.01.30.20.8
GA total257336
GA avg0.40.80.60.50.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNasarawa UnitedKwara United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%55%45%55%
1.536%9%27%0%
2.50%0%9%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNasarawa UnitedKwara United
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score044246

Penalties

MetricNasarawa UnitedKwara United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNasarawa UnitedKwara United
Wins51
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-11-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricNasarawa UnitedKwara United
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kwara United and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away6.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.30 @ Superbet
No1.31 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nasarawa United = 0.67 (league 1.43), Kwara United = 0.13 (league 0.60)

Kwara United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nasarawa United 0 44.9% 5.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.0% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 48.9% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1