NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 15:00 • Warri Township Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.43) 0.92 (league 0.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 35.5% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warri Wolves 0 21.3% 19.6% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWarri WolvesNasarawa United
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack42%58%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Warri Wolves Nasarawa United
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%43%36%86%29%57%
Draws43%14%29%14%29%21%
Loses29%43%36%0%43%21%

Form: Warri Wolves: WWLDLLWDWWDLLD • Nasarawa United: LWDWWWWWLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Warri Wolves Nasarawa United
HATHAT
GF total761312416
GF avg1.00.90.91.70.61.1
GA total6612369
GA avg0.90.90.90.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWarri WolvesNasarawa United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%71%57%
1.521%21%36%7%
2.50%0%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWarri WolvesNasarawa United
HATHAT
Clean sheets325426
Failed to score224044

Penalties

MetricWarri WolvesNasarawa United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWarri WolvesNasarawa United
Wins25
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-1—2-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricWarri WolvesNasarawa United
Form38%62%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nasarawa United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Warri Wolves = 0.63 (league 1.43), Nasarawa United = 0.92 (league 0.59)

Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warri Wolves 0 21.3% 19.6% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1