Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.23) 0.26 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.3% 17.1% 4.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
20.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagKarvan
Played55
Form87%0%
Attack100%60%
Defense70%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Karvan
HATHAT
Played74117512
Wins57%100%73%0%20%8%
Draws29%0%18%14%20%17%
Loses14%0%9%86%60%75%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWW • Karvan: DWLLLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Qarabag Karvan
HATHAT
GF total813215510
GF avg1.13.31.90.71.00.8
GA total235151126
GA avg0.30.80.52.12.22.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagKarvan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%36%58%92%
1.564%9%17%83%
2.518%0%8%33%
3.518%0%0%8%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagKarvan
HATHAT
Clean sheets527011
Failed to score202325

Penalties

MetricQarabagKarvan
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricQarabagKarvan
Wins41
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-5—2-3
Biggest losses0-1—0-34-1
Goals For2523
Goals Against1234

Model comparison

MetricQarabagKarvan
Form100%0%
Att63%38%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total78.0%22.3%

Advice: Winner : Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw9.08 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.74 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 1.96 (league 1.23), Karvan = 0.26 (league 1.15)

Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.3% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1