Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:30 •
Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.43)
0.34 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 35.9% | 12.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
1 - 0
26.1%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Kwara United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Katsina United | 0 | 26.1% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.1% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 58% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 14% | 36% | 57% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 14% | 57% | 36% | 14% | 71% | 43% |
Form: Katsina United: LWWLWLLWLWDDLWDLDDWWLDLWDWDL • Kwara United: DLWDWLLDWDWDLDLWLWLLLLWLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 9 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 19 | 26 | 7 | 18 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Katsina United | Kwara United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 64% | 50% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 21% | 25% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Katsina United | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Katsina United or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Katsina United = 1.00 (league 1.43), Kwara United = 0.34 (league 0.58)
| Kwara United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Katsina United | 0 | 26.1% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.1% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 12.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1