Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Lafia Township Stadium
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.43)
0.51 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 33.1% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ikorodu City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nasarawa United | 0 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 25% | 33% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 64% | 21% | 43% | 71% | 14% | 43% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Loses | 7% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Nasarawa United: LWDWWWWWLLWDDWLWDDLLWWDDDLWL • Ikorodu City: DDDWLDDWWDWWWLWDDLWLWLWLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 64% | 68% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 11% | 25% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nasarawa United or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nasarawa United = 1.09 (league 1.43), Ikorodu City = 0.51 (league 0.58)
| Ikorodu City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nasarawa United | 0 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 17.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1