Acatlan vs Cimarrones

Liga Premier Serie A — Mexico

Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Match Finished

Acatlan

0 - 4

Cimarrones

Expected Goals

1.17 (league 1.53) 3.16 (league 1.17)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
10.5%	13.1%	66.3%

best score tips

1 - 3

8.1%

1 - 2

7.7%

0 - 3

6.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Cimarrones
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Acatlan	0	1.3%	4.2%	6.6%	6.9%	5.4%	3.4%
	1	1.5%	4.9%	7.7%	8.1%	6.4%	4.0%
	2	0.9%	2.9%	4.5%	4.8%	3.8%	2.4%
	3	0.4%	1.1%	1.8%	1.9%	1.5%	0.9%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Acatlan	Cimarrones
Played	5	5
Form	40%	67%
Attack	59%	47%
Defense	24%	76%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	13 \| 2.6	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

68%

FT probability

3.5+

49%

FT probability

BTTS

75%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Acatlan			Cimarrones
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	13	12	25
Wins	33%	15%	24%	69%	42%	56%
Draws	8%	0%	4%	23%	33%	28%
Loses	58%	85%	72%	8%	25%	16%

Form: Acatlan: DLLLLLLWLLLLLLWLWLWLLLWWL • Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWWDLWDWLWWD

League goals

Metric	Acatlan			Cimarrones
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	18	39	24	19	43
GF avg	1.8	1.4	1.6	1.8	1.6	1.7
GA total	27	43	70	7	12	19
GA avg	2.3	3.3	2.8	0.5	1.0	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Acatlan		Cimarrones
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	72%	92%	84%	52%
1.5	40%	88%	36%	24%
2.5	28%	60%	28%	0%
3.5	16%	24%	12%	0%
4.5	0%	16%	4%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Acatlan			Cimarrones
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	8	4	12
Failed to score	3	4	7	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Acatlan	Cimarrones
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2

Streaks

Metric	Acatlan	Cimarrones
Wins	2	4
Draws	1	3
Losses	6	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	3-4	7-2	0-4
Biggest losses	0-3	5-0	1-2	2-1
Goals For	4	4	7	4
Goals Against	3	5	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Acatlan	Cimarrones
Form	38%	63%
Att	56%	44%
Def	24%	76%
Poisson Distribution	27%	73%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	20%	80%
Total	33.0%	67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cimarrones

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Acatlan vs Cimarrones

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Acatlan

Cimarrones

Liga Premier Serie A • Mexico • Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Expected goals

1.17

Acatlan xG League Avg: 1.53

Total

4.33

3.16

Cimarrones xG League Avg: 1.17

1x2 probabilities

Home

10.5%

Draw

13.1%

Away

66.3%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 3

8.1%

Tip

1 - 2

7.7%

Tip

0 - 3

6.9%

More chances

1.5+

95%

Chance

2.5+

68%

Chance

3.5+

49%

Chance

BTTS

75%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Acatlan #Cimarrones #LigaPremierSerieA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Acatlan = 1.17 (league 1.53), Cimarrones = 3.16 (league 1.17)

		Cimarrones
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Acatlan	0	1.3%	4.2%	6.6%	6.9%	5.4%	3.4%
	1	1.5%	4.9%	7.7%	8.1%	6.4%	4.0%
	2	0.9%	2.9%	4.5%	4.8%	3.8%	2.4%
	3	0.4%	1.1%	1.8%	1.9%	1.5%	0.9%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 66.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Acatlan	Cimarrones
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2