Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 20:00 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.76) 1.51 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 26.0% 52.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Galatasaray
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 9.4% 14.2% 10.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.4% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjaxGalatasaray
Played33
Form0%67%
Attack8%42%
Defense8%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 3.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax Galatasaray
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%100%0%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%0%100%33%

Form: Ajax: LLL • Galatasaray: LWW

League goals

Metric Ajax Galatasaray
HATHAT
GF total011415
GF avg0.00.50.32.01.01.7
GA total2911156
GA avg2.04.53.70.55.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjaxGalatasaray
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%100%67%
1.50%100%33%33%
2.50%67%33%33%
3.50%67%0%33%
4.50%33%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjaxGalatasaray
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricAjaxGalatasaray
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAjaxGalatasaray
Wins00
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses0-25-1—5-1
Goals For0131
Goals Against2515

Model comparison

MetricAjaxGalatasaray
Form0%100%
Att17%83%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Galatasaray

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.01 @ 1xBet
Away2.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 0.85 (league 1.76), Galatasaray = 1.51 (league 1.32)

Galatasaray
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 9.4% 14.2% 10.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.4% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 52.3%

Vtot 42 , Vtod1