Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 17:45 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.76) 0.38 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.5% 8.6% 2.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
15.3%
4 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenSporting CP
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack65%48%
Defense74%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 311 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Sporting CP
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%100%0%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%20%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWL • Sporting CP: WLWDW

League goals

Metric Bayern München Sporting CP
HATHAT
GF total78159211
GF avg3.52.73.03.01.02.2
GA total156235
GA avg0.51.71.20.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenSporting CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%80%
1.580%20%60%20%
2.560%20%40%0%
3.540%0%20%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenSporting CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenSporting CP
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenSporting CP
Wins41
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-1
Biggest losses3-12-1
Goals For4541
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenSporting CP
Form55%45%
Att58%42%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bayern München or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ 1xBet
Draw7.50 @ Unibet
Away12.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 2.99 (league 1.76), Sporting CP = 0.38 (league 1.32)

Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.5% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod7