Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.33) 1.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.9% 23.0% 71.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.0%
0 - 2
20.5%
0 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Plovdiv 0 16.6% 26.0% 20.5% 10.7% 4.2% 1.3%
1 3.7% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotev PlovdivCherno More Varna
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack89%22%
Defense11%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botev Plovdiv Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
Played87158816
Wins13%43%27%38%50%44%
Draws25%0%13%38%38%38%
Loses63%57%60%25%13%19%

Form: Botev Plovdiv: DLLLWLLWLLWDLWL • Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLDDWL

League goals

Metric Botev Plovdiv Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
GF total5121711920
GF avg0.61.71.11.41.11.3
GA total1312257411
GA avg1.61.71.70.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotev PlovdivCherno More Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%69%56%
1.533%40%31%6%
2.57%13%19%6%
3.50%7%6%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotev PlovdivCherno More Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets000347
Failed to score404235

Penalties

MetricBotev PlovdivCherno More Varna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBotev PlovdivCherno More Varna
Wins12
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-53-21-31-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against5331

Model comparison

MetricBotev PlovdivCherno More Varna
Form58%42%
Att80%20%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cherno More Varna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botev Plovdiv = 0.23 (league 1.33), Cherno More Varna = 1.57 (league 1.12)

Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Plovdiv 0 16.6% 26.0% 20.5% 10.7% 4.2% 1.3%
1 3.7% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 71.5%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1