First League
— Bulgaria
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Hristo Botev Stadium
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.30)
0.65 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 40.2% | 30.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
0 - 1
17.8%
1 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lokomotiv Sofia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Botev Vratsa | 0 | 27.5% | 17.8% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 43% | 33% | 38% | 40% | 29% | 34% |
| Loses | 29% | 40% | 34% | 27% | 43% | 34% |
Form: Botev Vratsa: DLDDDWWLDWLLWDWLLWDLDDDLWWLDL • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWDWWLDLWLDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 52% | 69% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 24% | 41% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 7% | 21% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Botev Vratsa | Lokomotiv Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Sofia and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Betano
No2.03 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Botev Vratsa
vs
Lokomotiv Sofia
Expected goals
0.64
Botev Vratsa xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
1.29
0.65
Lokomotiv Sofia xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.8%
Draw
40.2%
Away
30.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
27.5%
Tip
0 - 1
17.8%
Tip
1 - 0
17.7%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
39%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Botev Vratsa = 0.64 (league 1.30), Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.65 (league 1.11)
| Lokomotiv Sofia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Botev Vratsa | 0 | 27.5% | 17.8% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 30.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1