Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 17:30 •
Arena Arda
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.30)
1.70 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 22.9% | 65.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ludogorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arda Kardzhali | 0 | 10.7% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 57% | 100% |
| Defense | 71% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 33% | 38% | 60% | 57% | 59% |
| Draws | 29% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 40% | 34% | 7% | 14% | 10% |
Form: Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLWLLWLDLWWDDWLWDWDLWWWL • Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLDWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 29 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 59% | 83% | 41% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 24% | 59% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 34% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 32.3% | 67.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ludogorets
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away1.57 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arda Kardzhali
vs
Ludogorets
Expected goals
0.54
Arda Kardzhali xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.24
1.70
Ludogorets xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
11.2%
Draw
22.9%
Away
65.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
18.1%
Tip
0 - 2
15.4%
Tip
0 - 0
10.7%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arda Kardzhali = 0.54 (league 1.30), Ludogorets = 1.70 (league 1.11)
| Ludogorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arda Kardzhali | 0 | 10.7% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 65.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1