Fratria 2-2 Dunav Ruse: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Fratria 2-2 Dunav Ruse: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Second League 🌍 Bulgaria

Mon, May 11 2026 · 17:15

Fratria

2 - 2

Dunav Ruse

🏆 Second League

🌍 Bulgaria

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 1.80

Both

2.65

League avg: 3.50

Away

1.20

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

27%

ELO-based: 34%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

47%

ELO-based: 42%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

64%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 010%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Fratria vs Dunav Ruse

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Fratria vs Dunav Ruse.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Dunav Ruse
		0	1	2	3	4
Fratria	0	7.1%	8.5%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
	1	10.2%	12.3%	7.4%	3.0%	0.9%
	2	7.4%	8.9%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
	3	3.6%	4.3%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	1.3%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1568-3

League

1507±0

Away

1601-28

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Fratria	1568	1569	1535	1649	1565	-3
Dunav Ruse	1601	1577	1562	1603	1690	-28

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Fratria	3	29	56	16	8	5	53	27	WWDDL
Dunav Ruse	1	29	65	19	8	2	49	12	DDDLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Fratria	5	53%	67%	60%	2.0	1.2
Dunav Ruse	5	40%	27%	80%	0.8	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Fratria	2.3	1.4	1.8	0.9	0.9	0.9
Dunav Ruse	1.9	1.5	1.7	0.2	0.6	0.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Fratria	1.8	2.3	0.9	0.9
Dunav Ruse	1.7	1.5	0.4	0.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	16.98%	20.41%	3.70%	8.33%
16-30	18.87%	16.33%	22.22%	8.33%
31-45	13.21%	12.24%	22.22%	8.33%
46-60	13.21%	14.29%	11.11%	16.67%
61-75	28.30%	14.29%	18.52%	8.33%
76-90	9.43%	22.45%	22.22%	50.00%

Team Comparison

57%

Form

43%

71%

Attack

29%

33%

Defense

67%

44%

Poisson

56%

H2H

Goals

51%

Total

49%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Fratria	5-0	0-3	1-4	2-0	5 / 3	4 / 2
Dunav Ruse	4-0	0-3		3-2	4 / 3	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Fratria	10	6	4	4	1	3
Dunav Ruse	20	13	7	6	3	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Fratria	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Dunav Ruse	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-11-10	Dunav Ruse	2 - 0 FT	Fratria
2025-05-17	Dunav Ruse	4 - 0 FT	Fratria
2024-11-23	Fratria	0 - 4 FT	Dunav Ruse

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.05	Homepage market
Draw	3.10	Homepage market
Away win	3.30	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.25	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+6'	Dunav Ruse	I. Keita	Goal	Normal Goal
90+2'	Fratria	M. Dilchovski	Goal	Own Goal
90+1'	Fratria	M. Marinov	Card	Yellow Card
90'	Dunav Ruse	G. Kitanov	Card	Yellow Card
86'	Dunav Ruse	I. Rufe	subst	Out: K. Gospodinov
80'	Fratria	I. Ibryam	Card	Yellow Card
79'	Fratria	I. Brikner	Goal	Normal Goal
78'	Fratria	V. Yoskov	subst	Out: D. Halachev
78'	Fratria	K. Peshov	subst	Out: I. Ibryam
77'	Dunav Ruse	I. Rufe	Card	Yellow Card
74'	Dunav Ruse	E. Sou	subst	Out: H. Kelyovluev
70'	Dunav Ruse	E. Sou	Card	Yellow Card
69'	Fratria	I. Brikner	Card	Yellow Card
66'	Fratria	R. Rumenov	subst	Out: I. Brikner
61'	Dunav Ruse	R. Apostolov	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Fratria	G. Atanasov	subst	Out: V. Mitev
60'	Dunav Ruse	P. Bachev	subst	Out: I. Keita
46'	Fratria	D. Kadir	subst	Out: I. Kapitanov
38'	Dunav Ruse	K. Boychev	Card	Yellow Card
23'	Dunav Ruse	K. Boychev	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Second League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Dunav Ruse Promotion	1	31	66	19	9	3	51	15	36	LDWLD
Yantra 2019 Promotion Playoffs	2	31	61	17	10	4	42	23	19	WDWWD
Fratria	3	31	60	17	9	5	58	29	29	WDLDD
Vihren	4	32	58	17	7	8	59	34	25	WDWWW
CSKA Sofia II	5	31	52	15	7	9	54	32	22	WLDWW
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	6	31	46	11	13	7	36	29	7	WLDWD
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	7	31	44	11	11	9	39	42	-3	WLDWW
Hebar 1918	8	31	40	11	7	13	41	50	-9	DWLLL
Pirin Blagoevgrad	9	31	38	9	11	11	38	38	0	WLDLD
Ludogorets II	10	31	38	10	8	13	38	42	-4	LWWDW
Marek	11	31	38	9	11	11	26	35	-9	DWDWD
Spartak Pleven	12	31	35	9	8	14	36	42	-6	WWLDW
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	31	33	8	9	14	33	49	-16	LLLDL
Sportist Svoge	14	31	31	8	7	16	27	48	-21	LWLWL
FK Minyor Pernik Relegation	15	31	30	7	9	15	31	43	-12	LLLWL
Sevlievo Relegation	16	31	29	8	5	18	26	50	-24	LWLLL
Belasitsa Relegation	17	31	19	4	7	20	25	59	-34	LLWLL