Marek 3-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Marek 3-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Second League 🌍 Bulgaria

Mon, May 11 2026 · 15:00

Marek

3 - 0

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

🏆 Second League

🌍 Bulgaria

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.15

League avg: 0.80

Both

2.15

League avg: 2.00

Away

1.00

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

33%

ELO-based: 31%

Draw

30%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

37%

ELO-based: 45%

Goal Probability

2.5+

42%

3.5+

30%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

1 - 013%

1 - 113%

0 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
		0	1	2	3	4
Marek	0	11.6%	11.6%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
	1	13.4%	13.4%	6.7%	2.2%	0.6%
	2	7.7%	7.7%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
	3	3.0%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1526+26

League

1507±0

Away

1589-7

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Marek	1526	1555	1518	1445	1550	+26
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1589	1589	1547	1696	1640	-7

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Marek	11	29	34	8	10	11	22	34	WWDWD
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	6	29	43	10	13	6	35	26	LWDWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Marek	5	73%	50%	88%	0.8	0.2
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	5	53%	75%	63%	1.2	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Marek	1.1	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.4	1.2
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1.3	1.1	1.2	0.6	1.2	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Marek	0.8	1.1	1.2	0.9
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1.2	1.1	0.9	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.33%	23.53%	21.88%	14.81%
16-30	16.67%	23.53%	15.63%	22.22%
31-45	16.67%	17.65%	18.75%	14.81%
46-60	16.67%	2.94%	15.63%	22.22%
61-75	12.50%	8.82%	9.38%	14.81%
76-90	29.17%	23.53%	18.75%	11.11%

Team Comparison

58%

Form

42%

Attack

75%

Defense

25%

48%

Poisson

52%

67%

H2H

33%

56%

Goals

44%

57%

Total

43%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Marek	3-1	0-1	1-3	4-0	3 / 1	3 / 4
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	3-0	1-3	0-2	4-2	3 / 3	2 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Marek	11	5	6	11	3	8
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	12	8	4	9	4	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Marek	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-11-08	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	3 - 0 FT	Marek
2023-11-29	Marek	3 - 1 FT	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
2023-07-18	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	0 - 2 FT	Marek

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+6'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas		Goal	Missed Penalty
90+6'	Marek	S. Mechev	Goal	Normal Goal
89'	Marek	D. Goranov	subst	Out: K. Kaninski
73'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	G. Staykov	subst	Out: S. Slavov
72'	Marek	D. Goranov	Goal	Normal Goal
69'	Marek	K. Vasilev	Card	Yellow Card
68'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	R. Kostenski	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	D. Pavlov	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	S. Stefanov	subst	Out: K. Dobrev
62'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	J. Ivanov	subst	Out: R. Kostenski
62'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	D. Pavlov	subst	Out: D. Avramov
59'	Marek	S. Veshev	subst	Out: E. George
46'	Marek	D. Kirilov	subst	Out: K. Vasilev
46'	Marek	N. Todorov	subst	Out: I. Dimitrov
44'	Marek	S. Veshev	Card	Yellow Card
42'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	J. Ivanov	Card	Yellow Card
26'	Marek	S. Mechev	Goal	Normal Goal
12'	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	G. Staykov	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Second League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Dunav Ruse Promotion	1	31	66	19	9	3	51	15	36	LDWLD
Yantra 2019 Promotion Playoffs	2	31	61	17	10	4	42	23	19	WDWWD
Fratria	3	31	60	17	9	5	58	29	29	WDLDD
Vihren	4	32	58	17	7	8	59	34	25	WDWWW
CSKA Sofia II	5	31	52	15	7	9	54	32	22	WLDWW
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	6	31	46	11	13	7	36	29	7	WLDWD
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	7	31	44	11	11	9	39	42	-3	WLDWW
Hebar 1918	8	31	40	11	7	13	41	50	-9	DWLLL
Pirin Blagoevgrad	9	31	38	9	11	11	38	38	0	WLDLD
Ludogorets II	10	31	38	10	8	13	38	42	-4	LWWDW
Marek	11	31	38	9	11	11	26	35	-9	DWDWD
Spartak Pleven	12	31	35	9	8	14	36	42	-6	WWLDW
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	31	33	8	9	14	33	49	-16	LLLDL
Sportist Svoge	14	31	31	8	7	16	27	48	-21	LWLWL
FK Minyor Pernik Relegation	15	31	30	7	9	15	31	43	-12	LLLWL
Sevlievo Relegation	16	31	29	8	5	18	26	50	-24	LWLLL
Belasitsa Relegation	17	31	19	4	7	20	25	59	-34	LLWLL