Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio El Collao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.43) 0.44 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 41.9% 19.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atlètic Lleida
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcoyano 0 31.1% 13.7% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcoyanoAtlètic Lleida
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack17%58%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcoyano Atlètic Lleida
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%0%22%20%0%11%
Draws40%50%44%60%50%56%
Loses20%50%33%20%50%33%

Form: Alcoyano: DDWLWDDLL • Atlètic Lleida: DDDLDLWDL

League goals

Metric Alcoyano Atlètic Lleida
HATHAT
GF total42610313
GF avg0.80.50.72.00.81.4
GA total36911516
GA avg0.61.51.02.21.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcoyanoAtlètic Lleida
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%89%100%
1.511%22%44%56%
2.50%11%11%11%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcoyanoAtlètic Lleida
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricAlcoyanoAtlètic Lleida
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlcoyanoAtlètic Lleida
Wins11
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-2
Biggest losses0-14-12-42-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricAlcoyanoAtlètic Lleida
Form50%50%
Att22%78%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alcoyano or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away3.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcoyano = 0.73 (league 1.43), Atlètic Lleida = 0.44 (league 1.09)

Atlètic Lleida
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcoyano 0 31.1% 13.7% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2