Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.27)
1.09 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 33.2% | 49.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.1%
0 - 0
20.4%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Vado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valenzana | 0 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 58% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 20% | 40% | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Draws | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Form: Valenzana: WLDDLDWWWD • Vado: WWWWWDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Valenzana | Vado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Valenzana | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vado and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Valenzana = 0.51 (league 1.27), Vado = 1.09 (league 1.11)
| Vado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valenzana | 0 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 49.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1