Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.27)
1.74 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 22.9% | 62.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Asti | 0 | 9.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Asti | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Asti | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 60% | 0% | 30% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Asti: WLDDDLWLWW • Derthona: WLLLWDLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Asti | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Asti | Derthona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 30% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Asti | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Asti | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Asti | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Asti | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Asti or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Asti = 0.66 (league 1.27), Derthona = 1.74 (league 1.11)
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Asti | 0 | 9.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 62.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1