Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Allegretti Campo A
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.15)
1.72 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 23.3% | 61.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 2
13.2%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0 | 8.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 100% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 80% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Form: Cittadella Vis Modena: WWLWLLLWWW • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 80% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 30% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cittadella Vis Modena = 0.69 (league 1.15), Desenzano Calvina = 1.72 (league 1.12)
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0 | 8.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 61.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1