Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Degli Ulivi
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.51)
0.73 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4% | 18.9% | 11.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Afragolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fidelis Andria | 0 | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 42% | 100% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 0% | 40% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDD • Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 70% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 10% | 70% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Fidelis Andria or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fidelis Andria = 2.12 (league 1.51), Afragolese = 0.73 (league 0.99)
| Afragolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fidelis Andria | 0 | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 11.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1