Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Felice Squitieri
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.51)
1.14 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 32.6% | 60.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
29.5%
0 - 0
26.0%
0 - 2
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarnese | 0 | 26.0% | 29.5% | 16.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 80% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDL • Heraclea: WWLDLWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 15 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarnese | Heraclea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 90% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 20% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarnese | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 16% | 84% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 19.8% | 80.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Heraclea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 0.21 (league 1.51), Heraclea = 1.14 (league 0.99)
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarnese | 0 | 26.0% | 29.5% | 16.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.9% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 60.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1