Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.53)
0.57 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.2% | 32.7% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
18.9%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Francavilla | 0 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.7% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 25% | 67% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Form: Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDL • Nardò: LLDWLDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Francavilla | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Francavilla | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nardò and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 1.10 (league 1.53), Nardò = 0.57 (league 0.99)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Francavilla | 0 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.7% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 19.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1