Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio San Filippo
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.39)
0.57 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 42.6% | 27.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Vibonese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 31.1% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 64% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWL • Vibonese: WDDLWDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | Vibonese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | Vibonese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Messina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.60 (league 1.39), Vibonese = 0.57 (league 1.06)
| Vibonese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 31.1% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 42.6% · Away win 27.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1