Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.44) 0.85 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 27.5% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 10.7% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack33%13%
Defense47%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Played68148715
Wins50%13%29%25%29%27%
Draws17%38%29%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%43%75%71%73%

Form: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWDLWLLDLDWLLD • Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: LLWLWWLLLWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
GF total68147815
GF avg1.01.01.00.91.11.0
GA total61319151429
GA avg1.01.61.41.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%47%80%
1.529%43%27%60%
2.50%14%20%47%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score224448

Penalties

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Wins22
Draws10
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-43-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Form100%0%
Att71%29%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 1.39 (league 1.44), Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel = 0.85 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 10.7% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 23.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1