Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 12:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.44) 0.70 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 16.3% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack60%73%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins71%75%73%29%29%29%
Draws14%13%13%29%14%21%
Loses14%13%13%43%57%50%

Form: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWWWWDWWLWWDW • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLWLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total14163011920
GF avg2.02.02.01.61.31.4
GA total549131225
GA avg0.70.50.61.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%53%71%86%
1.560%7%43%50%
2.540%0%29%14%
3.513%0%0%14%
4.57%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets347112
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Wins42
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-52-00-3
Biggest losses0-11-03-55-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against2155

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 2.35 (league 1.44), Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 0.70 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 9.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1