Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Alfonso Diego Molina
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.52)
0.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.2% | 11.6% | 4.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.3%
3 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Héroes de Zaci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportiva Venados | 0 | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 75% | 67% |
| Attack | 63% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Deportiva Venados: WLWW • Héroes de Zaci: WLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Héroes de Zaci |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Deportiva Venados or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportiva Venados = 2.63 (league 1.52), Héroes de Zaci = 0.43 (league 1.18)
| Héroes de Zaci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportiva Venados | 0 | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 4.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1